How Much is Too Much
Last week, Banks, airlines, and other economically sensitive sectors felt the brunt of rising covid cases across Europe. Major tech names and strong retail earnings did enough to counteract the negative pandemic sentiment with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ finished the week up 0.4% and 1.3%, respectively.
This week, Sentiment looks to be against the stock market as it remains under pressure from a bond market that is looking increasingly jittery as the FED starts to wind down its asset purchases.
'Travel, good - stay at home, bad' has been the default position for markets over recent months. The likes of Marriot International and Airbnb have been rewarded while Stay-at-home names such as Peloton and Zoom have cratered. Peloton has fallen over 70% from its pandemic highs, while Zoom has already slipped another 20% this week alone as investors reacted to a further slowdown in revenue growth.
However, with Covid cases now rising again and lockdown measures being put in place across Europe, our heightened need for these Stay-at-Home names may not be over.
Don't write these pandemic darlings off just yet. While momentum is likely to remain negative over the short term, the new lower price point will make for a more compelling investment.
How much is Too Much?
Nvidia: +161% YTD
Last week, Nvidia continued its phenomenal run as the tech giant reported a 50% jump in Q3 sales.
Nvidia is now the seventh-largest company in America and could soon become just the 6th company to reach a Trillion-dollar Market Cap.
While Nvidia's valuation multiplies are astronomically high, fixating on trailing earnings multiples has not been a rewarding investment strategy over recent years.
The best performing stocks in the current era have never given you an opportunity to own them at parity with the market's multiple or below. And why would they have? Shouldn't the highest quality, fastest growing, best positioned companies have stocks that sell at a premium to the stocks of lesser firms?
While much of the future growth is already priced in, and 'quality at any price' is a potential pitfall, there is no denying that Nvidia is perfectly positioned to maintain its market-leading position well into the future.
Almost Every Company in the world will need to incorporate a digital and virtual arm in years to come. It's not just the tech giants that will drive future order flow.
Nike, for example, just announced last week that it is entering the metaverse via the launch of a virtual world known as 'Nikeland' on Roblox.
Nike will be building an online store for Roblox users to try on virtual apparel, and it will have an arena for playing games mimicking the likes of the Super Bowl and the World Cup. Nike is not alone in this digital push as more and more companies look for ways to appeal to a younger audience.
As we move closer to a virtual world and the mythical metaverse becomes a reality, Nvidia's hefty valuation may become a little easier to comprehend.